Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.069700 0.077216 0.085460 0.095220 0.106519 0.119259 0.134810
2024-10-27 0.057769 0.067794 0.079687 0.095019 0.114532 0.138917 0.172315
2024-11-03 0.050518 0.061995 0.076479 0.096505 0.124142 0.162008 0.219830
2024-11-10 0.045225 0.057513 0.073818 0.097715 0.133088 0.185739 0.274852
2024-11-17 0.040728 0.053288 0.070641 0.097335 0.139280 0.206460 0.331541
2024-11-24 0.037610 0.050460 0.068867 0.098459 0.147641 0.232201 0.405606
2024-12-01 0.035071 0.048098 0.067365 0.099597 0.156007 0.259778 0.494061
2024-12-08 0.032875 0.045966 0.065883 0.100420 0.163821 0.288193 0.597150
2024-12-15 0.030799 0.043785 0.064031 0.100268 0.169706 0.314253 0.707995
2024-12-22 0.028773 0.041481 0.061713 0.098924 0.172963 0.335540 0.818343
2024-12-29 0.027599 0.040415 0.061297 0.100911 0.183229 0.375795 1.012202
2025-01-05 0.025938 0.038414 0.059093 0.099226 0.185397 0.397063 1.159568
2025-01-12 0.024836 0.037274 0.058311 0.100270 0.194014 0.438723 1.425061
2025-01-19 0.023570 0.035766 0.056741 0.099552 0.198507 0.470985 1.689032
2025-01-26 0.022713 0.034889 0.056225 0.100919 0.208339 0.523309 2.124204
2025-02-02 0.021905 0.034034 0.055666 0.102112 0.218040 0.579886 2.685976
2025-02-09 0.020963 0.032876 0.054431 0.101671 0.223393 0.624420 3.267216
2025-02-16 0.020288 0.032147 0.053951 0.102847 0.233483 0.691933 4.217493
2025-02-23 0.019665 0.031468 0.053507 0.104046 0.243982 0.767571 5.532217
2025-03-02 0.019051 0.030766 0.052955 0.104915 0.253778 0.846910 7.297773
2025-03-09 0.018378 0.029911 0.052024 0.104753 0.260399 0.916625 9.403024
2025-03-16 0.017632 0.028876 0.050647 0.103328 0.262676 0.967076 11.611394
2025-03-23 0.017260 0.028528 0.050669 0.105433 0.277353 1.095645 17.234764